← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Feb 11, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Hertha win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hertha −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.68 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 21' | 🟨 | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 34' | ⚽ | Marc-Oliver Kempf · Hertha |
| 56' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | 🟨 | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
| 63' | ⚽ | Marc-Oliver Kempf · Hertha |
| 87' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟥 | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 590.00 | 316.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1544.74 | 1548.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.61 | -30.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.93 | 27.15 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |