← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 42% | 2.32 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 52' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Kaiserslautern |
| 64' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | David Kinsombi · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 72' | ⚽ | Visar Musliu · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raphael Obermair · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 9.00 | 954.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1423.61 | 1525.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.82 | 18.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 24.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.82 | 24.94 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |