← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 40% | 2.39 |
| Karlsruhe win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Sebastian Jung · Karlsruhe |
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 71' | 🟨 | Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui · Braunschweig |
| 72' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 75' | ⚽ | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 101.00 | 1470.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1382.81 | 1514.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.84 | 32.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 20.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 28.92 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |