← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Magdeburg win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Magdeburg +0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Aljoscha Kemlein · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 72' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 1104.00 | 436.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1454.07 | 1660.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.10 | 7.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | 1.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 70.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| league points | 24.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 11.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 20.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 10.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.00 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 26.37 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |