← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Feb 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Hannover win | 22% | 4.70 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hannover −0.75 | 49% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.46 |
| Under | 34% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
| 21' | ⚽ (og) | Guilherme Ramos · Hannover |
| 24' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 32' | ⚽ | Louis Schaub · Hannover |
| 47' | ⚽ | Dennis Hadžikadunić · Hamburger SV |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dennis Hadžikadunić · Hamburger SV |
| 86' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 88' | 🟥 | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dennis Hadžikadunić · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dennis Hadžikadunić · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 8.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Hannover |
| 588.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.30 |
| elo | 1588.89 | 1462.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.29 | 8.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.08 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 37.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.55 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |