← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Feb 4, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 64% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.38 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hansa Rostock −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (og) | Kevin Schumacher · Hannover |
| 29' | 🟨 | Janik Bachmann · Hansa Rostock |
| 36' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 72' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 78' | ⚽ | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 89' | 🟥 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Stafylidis · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 583.00 | 340.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1497.36 | 1407.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.99 | -11.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 30.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 27.57 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |