← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Braunschweig win | 23% | 4.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Niklas Tauer · Braunschweig |
| 61' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Blendi Idrizi · FC Schalke 04 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Keke Topp · FC Schalke 04 |
| 81' | 🟨 | Florian Krüger · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| coach days | 125.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1489.13 | 1388.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.51 | 53.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 26.98 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |