← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 47% | 2.12 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Can Uzun · Nurnberg |
| 33' | 🟨 | Benjamin Goller · Nurnberg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Erik Engelhardt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 49' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 51' | ⚽ | Can Uzun · Nurnberg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Kanji Okunuki · Nurnberg |
| 69' | 🟨 | Iván Márquez · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Goiginger · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kwasi Okyere Wriedt · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 247.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1465.51 | 1314.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.70 | 7.55 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| league points | 30.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 26.20 |
| state index | -0.25 | -1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |