← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Feb 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| SV Wehen win | 22% | 4.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| SV Wehen −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 53' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lasse Günther · SV Wehen |
| 74' | ⚽ | Nick Bätzner · SV Wehen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sascha Mockenhaupt · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1462.00 | 823.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -7.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1518.46 | 1432.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.30 | -8.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 30.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 26.74 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |