← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Jan 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 26% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jonas Urbig · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tom Rothe · Holstein Kiel |
| 59' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | ⚽ | Patrick Erras · Holstein Kiel |
| 75' | 🟨 | Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel · Holstein Kiel |
| 75' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 78' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 576.00 | 849.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1541.84 | 1548.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.94 | 33.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | 1.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.75 |
| league points | 33.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 23.63 | 26.13 |
| state index | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |