← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Jan 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 62% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.80 |
| Karlsruhe win | 18% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Karlsruhe −1 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.38 |
| Under | 30% | 3.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · Karlsruhe |
| 5' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · Karlsruhe |
| 33' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 35' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 39' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 46' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 62' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 65' | 🟨 | Guilherme Ramos · Hamburger SV |
| 81' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 941.00 | 1457.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1626.35 | 1503.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.18 | 19.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 34.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 28.76 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |