← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Jan 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Cedric Brunner · FC Schalke 04 |
| 10' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 51' | ⚽ | Darko Churlinov · FC Schalke 04 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 55' | 🟨 | Darko Churlinov · FC Schalke 04 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 67' | ⚽ | Filip Stojilković · Kaiserslautern |
| 70' | ⚽ | Aaron Opoku · Kaiserslautern |
| 89' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 56.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1418.66 | 1508.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.18 | -4.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| league points | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 29.26 |
| state index | -1.35 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |