← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Jan 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Nurnberg win | 23% | 4.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 38' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 74' | 🟨 | Can Uzun · Nurnberg |
| 81' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 30 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 574.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1483.00 | 1479.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.70 | 8.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 27.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |