← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Jan 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Greuther Furth win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sebastian Klaas · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 934.00 | 569.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.73 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1531.24 | 1530.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.59 | 25.00 |
| eye test v1 | 1.31 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.85 |
| league points | 27.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.47 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |