← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Jan 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Hertha win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hertha +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
| 34' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 44' | ⚽ | Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andreas Bouchalakis · Hertha |
| 45' | ⚽ | Derry Scherhant · Hertha |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marc-Oliver Kempf · Hertha |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Christos Tzolis · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 57' | 🟨 | Yannik Engelhardt · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 65' | 🟨 | Toni Leistner · Hertha |
| 80' | 🟨 | Pascal Klemens · Hertha |
| 89' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 295.00 | 719.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1579.28 | 1602.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.86 | 9.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.11 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 25.01 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |