← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Jan 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 18% | 5.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karlsruhe −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 24' | ⚽ | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 39' | 🟨 | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 55' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 77' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1448.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1499.72 | 1314.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.47 | -13.51 |
| eye test v1 | 1.11 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 24.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.55 | -1.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |