← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Jan 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Braunschweig win | 22% | 4.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 41' | 🟨 | Anton Donkor · Braunschweig |
| 43' | ⚽ | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 56' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 63' | 🟨 | Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niklas Tauer · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 15 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 840.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1564.97 | 1361.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 67.43 | 31.59 |
| eye test v1 | 1.36 | 0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.55 |
| league points | 36.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.64 | 26.32 |
| state index | 1.12 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |