← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Dec 17, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Braunschweig win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Braunschweig +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (og) | Ermin Bičakčić · Kaiserslautern |
| 18' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tobias Raschl · Kaiserslautern |
| 36' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 52' | 🟨 | Nikola Soldo · Kaiserslautern |
| 62' | ⚽ | Johan Arath Gomez · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marvin Rittmüller · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 46.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1350.64 | 1434.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.07 | -69.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.80 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.55 |
| league points | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.65 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 26.49 |
| state index | -0.44 | -1.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |