← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Dec 17, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 74% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.30 |
| SV Wehen win | 9% | 11.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −1.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −1.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Martin Angha · SV Wehen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Nick Bätzner · SV Wehen |
| 47' | ⚽ | Marcel Hartel · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 57' | 🟨 | Florian-Horst Carstens · SV Wehen |
| 84' | ⚽ | John Iredale · SV Wehen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 28 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| coach days | 381.00 | 776.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1646.54 | 1413.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.11 | -3.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 35.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 27.16 |
| state index | 0.68 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |