← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Dec 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.38 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 30' | ⚽ | Keke Topp · FC Schalke 04 |
| 33' | 🟨 | Blendi Idrizi · FC Schalke 04 |
| 36' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 50' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 74' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 77' | ⚽ | Simon Asta · Greuther Furth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 80' | 🟥 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 75.00 | 532.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1523.34 | 1528.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.87 | 41.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| league points | 19.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.37 | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |