← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Dec 10, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 32% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟥 | Júnior Brumado · Hansa Rostock |
| 72' | ⚽ | Blendi Idrizi · FC Schalke 04 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sebastian Polter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 81' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 86' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexander Rossipal · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 18 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 284.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1419.70 | 1509.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.84 | -17.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 28.76 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.89 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |