← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Hertha win | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hertha −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Almamy Touré · Kaiserslautern |
| 43' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 49' | ⚽ | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
| 59' | 🟥 | Afeez Aremu · Kaiserslautern |
| 81' | ⚽ | Marc-Oliver Kempf · Hertha |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kevin Kraus · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andreas Bouchalakis · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tjark Ernst · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 8.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1442.26 | 1578.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -59.66 | 21.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -1.13 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| league points | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 24.16 |
| state index | -1.14 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |