← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 48% | 2.06 |
| Magdeburg win | 26% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Silas Gnaka · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luc Castaignos · Magdeburg |
| 58' | 🟨 | Xavier Amaechi · Magdeburg |
| 59' | ⚽ | Tim Lemperle · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jomaine Consbruch · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 526.00 | 1041.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1532.13 | 1461.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.13 | -1.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 28.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.33 | 27.47 |
| state index | 1.07 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |