← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Dec 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Karlsruhe win | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (og) | Marcel Halstenberg · Karlsruhe |
| 53' | ⚽ | Lars Stindl · Karlsruhe |
| 72' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 | Christopher Scott · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 525.00 | 1406.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1492.37 | 1480.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.83 | -6.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 24.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 29.08 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |