← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Dec 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.36 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 16% | 6.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 57% | 1.68 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.75 | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Júnior Brumado · Hansa Rostock |
| 34' | ⚽ | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 44' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · Karlsruhe |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1401.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1483.67 | 1416.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.56 | -12.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.51 | 27.48 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -1.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |