← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Dec 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Braunschweig win | 29% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 32' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 63' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 71' | 🟨 | Lukas Petkov · Greuther Furth |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marco Meyerhofer · Greuther Furth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 31.00 | 519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.82 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1335.39 | 1525.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.72 | 40.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| league points | 8.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 25.00 |
| state index | -1.04 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |