← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Dec 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 52% | 1.88 |
| SV Wehen win | 24% | 4.00 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 37' | ⚽ | Jann-Fiete Arp · Holstein Kiel |
| 51' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · SV Wehen |
| 58' | ⚽ | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jann-Fiete Arp · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 792.00 | 761.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1534.03 | 1440.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.33 | 48.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 27.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 26.56 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |