← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Dec 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Hamburger SV win | 24% | 4.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Hamburger SV −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 27' | ⚽ (og) | Daniel Heuer Fernandes · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 29' | 🟨 | Guilherme Ramos · Hamburger SV |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 58' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 60' | ⚽ | Immanuel Pherai · Hamburger SV |
| 64' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | William Mikelbrencis · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 365.00 | 883.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1656.34 | 1611.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.32 | -3.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | 1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 33.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 26.11 |
| state index | 1.12 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |