← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Dec 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.51 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 16% | 6.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| VfL Osnabruck −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Henning Matriciani · FC Schalke 04 |
| 20' | ⚽ | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 46' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 48' | ⚽ | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Bryan Lasme · FC Schalke 04 |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 70' | ⚽ (og) | Florian Kleinhansl · FC Schalke 04 |
| 71' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 61.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1502.64 | 1306.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.66 | -42.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 0.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 26.87 |
| state index | -0.46 | -1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |