← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Nov 26, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| SV Wehen win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 43' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Robert Wagner · Greuther Furth |
| 48' | 🟨 | Simon Asta · Greuther Furth |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · SV Wehen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gino Fechner · SV Wehen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Thijmen Goppel · SV Wehen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Franko Kovačević · SV Wehen |
| 84' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 513.00 | 755.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1515.90 | 1450.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.49 | 62.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.50 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.78 |
| league points | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 24.96 | 26.89 |
| state index | 0.74 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |