← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 46% | 2.12 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 29% | 3.55 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Vincent Vermeij · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 19' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 26' | ⚽ | Vincent Vermeij · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 38' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ao Tanaka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 57' | ⚽ | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · FC Schalke 04 |
| 65' | ⚽ | Christos Tzolis · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 73' | ⚽ | Tomáš Kalas · FC Schalke 04 |
| 75' | ⚽ | Bryan Lasme · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | Düsseldorf Arena |
| ⚽ |
| Jona Niemiec · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 662.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1582.23 | 1512.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.69 | -24.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 24.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 13.29 | 15.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 27.12 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |