← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 46% | 2.08 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakhite · VfL Osnabruck |
| 89' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ahmet Arslan · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 24.00 | 1027.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1319.49 | 1433.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.16 | -48.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| league points | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 27.38 |
| state index | -1.23 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |