← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 19% | 5.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Hansa Rostock +0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Júnior Brumado · Hansa Rostock |
| 15' | ⚽ | Manolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 18' | ⚽ | Marcel Hartel · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 23' | ⚽ | Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 37' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Hansa Rostock |
| 39' | 🟨 | Júnior Brumado · Hansa Rostock |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Júnior Brumado · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 269.00 | 359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| elo | 1421.66 | 1650.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.58 | 23.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 87.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 10.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.37 | 1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |