← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Nov 24, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 71% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.18 |
| Braunschweig win | 12% | 8.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Braunschweig −1.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under | 30% | 3.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Guilherme Ramos · Hamburger SV |
| 26' | ⚽ | Immanuel Pherai · Hamburger SV |
| 55' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 62' | ⚽ | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 77' | 🟨 | Johan Arath Gomez · Braunschweig |
| 89' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 876.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1609.17 | 1337.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.36 | -23.74 |
| eye test v1 | 1.33 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| league points | 24.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 13.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 27.59 |
| state index | 0.53 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |