← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 38% | 2.66 |
| SV Wehen win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| SV Wehen +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 51' | ⚽ | Thijmen Goppel · SV Wehen |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nikola Soldo · Kaiserslautern |
| 65' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 741.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1441.27 | 1485.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.59 | -12.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 1.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.90 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 19.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 7.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 27.40 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |