← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Nov 12, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.12 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Magdeburg −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Herbert Bockhorn · Magdeburg |
| 46' | ⚽ | Dennis Dressel · Hansa Rostock |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jason Ceka · Magdeburg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 86' | ⚽ (og) | Connor Krempicki · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tatsuya Ito · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1014.00 | 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1446.15 | 1408.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.01 | -20.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.41 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |