← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 41% | 2.45 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Johan Arath Gomez · Braunschweig |
| 20' | 🟨 | Robert Ivanov · Braunschweig |
| 22' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakhite · VfL Osnabruck |
| 33' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
| 60' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 60' | 🟥 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 61' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · VfL Osnabruck |
| 65' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 71' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| Anton Donkor · Braunschweig |
| 79' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Erik Engelhardt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.87 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1329.74 | 1327.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.77 | -11.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 27.25 |
| state index | -1.69 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |