← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Nov 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Jonas David · Hansa Rostock |
| 56' | 🟨 | Smail Prevljak · Hertha |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Linus Gechter · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 249.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1406.39 | 1557.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.42 | 6.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 25.45 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |