β 2. Bundesliga 2023 Β· Sun, Nov 5, 12:30 PM UTC Β· ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 |
| Braunschweig win | 15% | 6.53 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover β1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Braunschweig β1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | β½ | Fabian Kunze Β· Hannover |
| 16' | π¨ | Jannis Nikolaou Β· Braunschweig |
| 42' | β½ (pen) | Marcel Halstenberg Β· Hannover |
| 57' | π¨ | Jannis Nikolaou Β· Braunschweig |
| 57' | π₯ | Jannis Nikolaou Β· Braunschweig |
| 68' | π¨ | Bright Arrey-Mbi Β· Hannover |
| 68' | π¨ | Fabio Kaufmann Β· Braunschweig |
| 70' | π¨ | Saulo Decarli Β· Braunschweig |
| 81' | π¨ | Sebastian Griesbeck Β· Braunschweig |
| 90' | π¨ | Fabian Kunze Β· Hannover |
| 90' | π¨ |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 0 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| 90' | π¨ | Ermin BiΔakΔiΔ Β· Braunschweig |
| coach days | 492.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 3.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1488.55 | 1336.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.64 | -42.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.40 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.02 | -1.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |