← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Magdeburg win | 21% | 4.68 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hamburger SV −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 74% | 1.30 |
| Under | 26% | 3.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 44' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 71' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 78' | 🟥 | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Herbert Bockhorn · Magdeburg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 856.00 | 1006.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1620.78 | 1452.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.29 | -41.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 46.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.93 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.35 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 26.54 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |