← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Lukas Petkov · Greuther Furth |
| 12' | 🟨 | Simon Asta · Greuther Furth |
| 16' | 🟨 | Tobias Raschl · Kaiserslautern |
| 22' | ⚽ | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nikola Soldo · Kaiserslautern |
| 52' | 🟨 | Julian Krahl · Kaiserslautern |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | 🟥 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 552.00 | 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1503.65 | 1486.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.34 | 13.04 |
| eye test v1 | 2.29 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| league points | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.73 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 25.02 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.05 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |