← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 45% | 2.11 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 29% | 3.43 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Henning Matriciani · FC Schalke 04 |
| 15' | 🟨 | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
| 35' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · FC Schalke 04 |
| 47' | ⚽ | Florian Flick · Nurnberg |
| 69' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Nurnberg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Brown · Nurnberg |
| 89' | ⚽ | Danny Latza · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 156.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1476.18 | 1526.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.22 | -47.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.71 |
| league points | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 28.08 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |