← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Hannover win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 42' | ⚽ | Bryan Lasme · FC Schalke 04 |
| 52' | ⚽ | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 72' | ⚽ | Lino Tempelmann · FC Schalke 04 |
| 76' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ralf Fährmann · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Assan Ouédraogo · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| coach days | 27.00 | 484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1519.30 | 1496.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.88 | 19.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 27.24 |
| state index | -0.75 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |