← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Oct 27, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.32 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 20% | 5.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Jannes Wulff · VfL Osnabruck |
| 40' | 🟨 | Florian Kleinhansl · VfL Osnabruck |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 47' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 74' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | ⚽ | Tim Lemperle · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 483.00 | 452.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1478.01 | 1333.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.31 | -0.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.30 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| league points | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 8.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.95 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.04 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |