← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Oct 22, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 41% | 2.37 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Lars Stindl · Karlsruhe |
| 37' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · Karlsruhe |
| 44' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Assan Ouédraogo · FC Schalke 04 |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Henning Matriciani · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1359.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1469.12 | 1537.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.53 | -33.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.63 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 30.38 | 27.03 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |