← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 47% | 2.10 |
| SV Wehen win | 28% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 54% | 1.84 |
| SV Wehen −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Hyun-ju Lee · SV Wehen |
| 11' | 🟨 | Maxwell Gyamfi · VfL Osnabruck |
| 15' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 37' | 🟨 | Martin Angha · SV Wehen |
| 70' | ⚽ | Robin Heußer · SV Wehen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Henry Rorig · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 446.00 | 719.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1349.04 | 1392.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.38 | -40.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 14.77 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 26.26 |
| state index | -0.89 | -1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |