← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Braunschweig win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.68 |
| Under | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Mattes Hansen · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 20' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 26' | ⚽ | Raphael Obermair · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 39' | ⚽ | Robert Ivanov · Braunschweig |
| 49' | 🟨 | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 90' | ⚽ | Filip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 13 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 7.00 | 829.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1372.51 | 1532.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.33 | -0.58 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.97 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |