← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 54% | 1.82 |
| SV Wehen win | 24% | 4.07 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hamburger SV +0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.46 |
| Under | 34% | 2.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 57' | 🟨 | Gino Fechner · SV Wehen |
| 81' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 89' | ⚽ | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Stritzel · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 23 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 705.00 | 828.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1387.98 | 1619.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.41 | -28.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 26.24 |
| state index | -1.11 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |