← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Karlsruhe win | 35% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 28' | 🟨 | Ahmet Arslan · Magdeburg |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 41' | 🟨 | Cristiano Piccini · Magdeburg |
| 49' | ⚽ | Luc Castaignos · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 2 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 4 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 978.00 | 1344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1484.16 | 1466.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.58 | -28.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 29.84 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |