← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Oct 6, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Hannover win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 7' | 🟨 | Tymoteusz Puchacz · Kaiserslautern |
| 17' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 79' | ⚽ | Aaron Opoku · Kaiserslautern |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟥 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 523.00 | 462.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1495.04 | 1500.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.73 | 36.36 |
| eye test v1 | 1.71 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 10.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.58 | 27.33 |
| state index | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.09 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |